Report on Jobs: Tight labour market conditions lead to further rapid increases in starting pay

Key findings

• Starting salary inflation holds close to record high
• Labour shortages lead to slower rise in staff placements
• Demand for staff remains robust

Data collected April 11-25

Summary

Recruitment activity across the UK continued to rise at a robust pace in April, according to the latest KPMG and REC, UK Report on Jobs survey. However, ongoing candidate shortages weighed on overall growth, with both permanent placements and temp billings expanding at the slowest rates for at least a year as recruiters struggled to fill a number of roles. Although easing slightly from the previous month, the deterioration in total candidate supply remained rapid in April.

Demand for staff rose at a historically sharp pace, despite a slight softening in the rate of overall vacancy growth. Increased competition for scarce candidates placed further upward pressure on pay, with the pace of starting salary inflation holding close to March’s survey record.

The report is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to a panel of around 400 UK recruitment and employment consultancies.

Permanent placement growth slips to 13-month low

Recruitment consultancies across the UK registered further sharp rises in both permanent placements and temp billings at the start of the second quarter amid reports of rising activity at clients and robust demand for staff. That said, the rates of growth eased to 13- and 12-month lows, respectively, as low candidate supply constrained the overall upturns in hiring activity.

Slower, but still rapid, reduction in candidate availability

The overall availability of candidates fell for the fourteenth month in a row in April. The rate of contraction was substantial and much quicker than the series average, despite softening to the weakest for three months. The supply of permanent labour continued to fall at a faster pace than that seen for temporary staff. Recruitment consultancies often mentioned that candidate numbers had fallen due to tight labour market conditions, fewer foreign workers and hesitancy to seek new roles due to the pandemic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Substantial increases in starting pay for both permanent and temporary workers

A combination of robust demand for staff and scarce supply drove further marked increases in starting pay during April. Notably, the rate of starting salary inflation weakened only slightly from March's record pace (which was the strongest since data collection began in October 1997). Temp wage growth also eased on the month, but remained historically sharp.

Total vacancies continue to rise sharply

Recruitment consultancies signalled a further steep increase in overall vacancies during April, despite the rate of growth easing slightly since March. Permanent staff demand continued to rise at a slightly quicker pace than that seen for temporary workers.

Regional and Sector Variations

On a regional basis, the Midlands posted the steepest increase in permanent placements at the start of the second quarter. That said, rates of growth slowed across all four monitored English areas.

The upturn in temp billings was broad-based across the four monitored English regions, and was led by the Midlands.

Latest data pointed to slower rises in vacancies across both the private and public sectors. That said, increases across all categories remained sharp overall. The steepest upturn in vacancies was signalled for permanent private sector roles, while the softest was noted for temporary positions in the public sector. 

All ten monitored job categories saw sharp increases in demand for staff in April, led by Hotel & Catering. Engineering and Blue Collar came in second and third place in the rankings, respectively.

Hotel & Catering also saw the sharpest rise in temporary staff vacancies at the start of the second quarter. The softest, but still marked, increase in demand for short-term staff was signalled for Accounting/Financial.

Comments

Commenting on the latest survey results, Neil Carberry, Chief Executive of the REC, said:

“The labour market has been tightening for months on end, driving near-record growth in starting salaries for new staff. With vacancy numbers also historically high, this is a great time to be looking for a job – and a pay rise to help meet the rising cost of living.

“The number of job placements being made is still growing, but at a more stable rate. Growth is now at its lowest level for a year. This is no surprise, given how hot the market has been. Employers need to get their offer to candidates right if they are going to succeed in this market. Enhancing diversity and inclusion, and effective early career hiring are also important elements of a winning approach – consulting a recruitment expert can help with all of this.”

Claire Warnes, Head of Education, Skills and Productivity at KPMG UK, said:

“Yet again in April, recruitment challenges abound in every region and every sector of the economy. Employers continue to be relentlessly challenged by attracting and retaining talent, rising costs due to inflation, as well as supply chain pressures. Skills and employment are a key pillar of “levelling up”, yet the recruitment data shows that a one size fits all approach is unlikely to succeed. The regional and sector variations we have seen over the past 12 months of jobs data provide clear evidence that long-term skills development strategies with employers working with all levels of government are urgently needed.”

Ends

Contact

For more information and interview enquiries, contact the REC Press Office on 020 7009 2192, 020 7009 2157 or pressoffice@rec.uk.com. Outside of regular office hours, please call 07702 568 829.

For further information on the survey methodology, or for full reports and historical data from the Report on Jobs, please contact economics@ihsmarkit.com.

If you are a recruitment business and interested in joining the Report on Jobs survey panel, you can sign up here. By joining the panel, you will get free access to the full Report on Jobs each month.

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